李泽辰, 杜文凤, 胡进奎, 李冬. 鄂尔多斯盆地临兴区块测井含气量解释方法[J]. 煤炭学报, 2018, 43(S2): 490-498. DOI: 10.13225/j.cnki.jccs.2018.1005
引用本文: 李泽辰, 杜文凤, 胡进奎, 李冬. 鄂尔多斯盆地临兴区块测井含气量解释方法[J]. 煤炭学报, 2018, 43(S2): 490-498. DOI: 10.13225/j.cnki.jccs.2018.1005
LI Ze-chen, DU Wen-feng, HU Jin-kui, LI Dong. Interpretation method of gas content in logging of Linxing block in Ordos Basin[J]. Journal of China Coal Society, 2018, 43(S2): 490-498. DOI: 10.13225/j.cnki.jccs.2018.1005
Citation: LI Ze-chen, DU Wen-feng, HU Jin-kui, LI Dong. Interpretation method of gas content in logging of Linxing block in Ordos Basin[J]. Journal of China Coal Society, 2018, 43(S2): 490-498. DOI: 10.13225/j.cnki.jccs.2018.1005

鄂尔多斯盆地临兴区块测井含气量解释方法

Interpretation method of gas content in logging of Linxing block in Ordos Basin

  • 摘要: 煤层含气量不仅是煤层气储层综合评价的一个重要参数, 同时, 准确预测煤层含气量也是预防瓦斯爆炸事故的重要手段, 因此准确确定煤层含气量是至关重要的。针对这一问题, 以鄂尔多斯盆地东缘临兴区块为研究对象, 结合前人研究成果, 同时引入了基于决策树模型的集成算法模型, 依据研究区实测数据, 分别建立了煤层含气量的SVM模型、神经网络模型、随机森林模型、梯度提升树模型4种预测模型, 分析并对比了各模型的性能。结果表明, 基于决策树模型的集成算法模型预测效果更好, 稳定更强, 在样本量较少、维度较低的样本集上比SVM模型和ANN模型更有优势。

     

    Abstract: Coal seam gas content is not only an important parameter for the comprehensive evaluation of coalbed methane reservoirs, at the same time, accurately predicted coal seam gas content is also an important measure to prevent gas explosions.Therefore, it is very important to accurately determine the gas content of the coal seam.In response to this problem, taking the Linxing block of the eastern margin of the Ordos Basin as the research object, combined with previous research results, an integrated algorithm model based on the decision tree model was introduced.Based on the measured data in the study area, the SVM of coal seam gas content was established, neural network models was established, random forest models was established, and gradient-elevation tree models was established to predict the performance of each model.The results show that the ensemble algorithm model based on decision tree model has a better prediction effect and stronger stability, and it is more advantageous than SVM model and ANN model in the sample set with less sample size and lower dimension.

     

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